Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
IPS
2 - 2
NEW
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NEW
1 - 2
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
NEW
3 - 0
OXF
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
NEW
4 - 1
WBA
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 2
NTT
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
NTT
3 - 1
IPS
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
WHU
4 - 2
NTT
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
NTT
3 - 2
WAT
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
NTT
0 - 1
TOT
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |