FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-4
Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
WBA
2 - 1
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1984 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
CHL
1 - 0
NTT
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
NTT
3 - 2
ASV
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1984 |
NTT
2 - 0
IPS
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
SUN
0 - 2
NTT
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |