Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
LEI
3 - 0
NEW
42%
30%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
NEW
3 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1971 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRY
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
NTT
4 - 1
WBA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
CHL
2 - 0
NTT
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
NTT
0 - 2
DER
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1971 |
HUR
0 - 1
NTT
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
TOT
6 - 1
NTT
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |