Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 3
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WBA
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
LEI
0 - 2
NEW
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
3 - 1
NTT
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
NTT
2 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 0
NTT
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
SHW
0 - 1
NTT
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |