Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
LEE
3 - 0
NEW
47%
23%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 3
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
22%
51%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 0
NTT
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 1
NTT
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 0
SUN
52%
21%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
LUT
3 - 1
NTT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
NTT
4 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |