Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
ARS
0 - 2
NEW
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHE
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
HUR
0 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 1
LIV
29%
31%
40%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
BCF
3 - 0
NTT
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 3
MAC
31%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 1
NTT
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |