Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 0
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1923 |
BOL
4 - 2
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 4
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 3
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |