Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
BBU
3 - 1
NEW
42%
24%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
NEW
6 - 1
BRA
67%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
29%
26%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 2
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1910 |
NTT
3 - 3
BRI
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1910 |
SHW
5 - 2
NTT
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 1
EVE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
MAC
1 - 0
NTT
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
NTT
4 - 1
OLD
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |