Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1909 |
BRA
1 - 2
NEW
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
NEW
4 - 0
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1909 |
BRA
1 - 1
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1909 |
EVE
3 - 3
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 2
NTT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
DER
3 - 0
NTT
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |