Newcastle vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
STO
2 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
EVE
4 - 1
NOR
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NOR
0 - 2
MUD
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
NOR
4 - 0
STO
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
NOR
2 - 1
BIR
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
TOT
0 - 0
NOR
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |