Newcastle vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 2
COV
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1987 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1986 |
WAT
1 - 0
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1986 |
NEW
0 - 4
EVE
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
68%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
ASV
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 3
STO
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1967 |
NOR
1 - 0
NOR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1967 |
CHA
3 - 0
NOR
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
NOR
2 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |