Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Newcastle vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
NEW
0 - 1
SOU
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
MID
0 - 1
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
NEW
4 - 3
LEI
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1997 |
NEW
4 - 1
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
NEW
1 - 2
NTT
66%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1997 |
STR
2 - 1
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1997 |
MON
3 - 0
LHA
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
LYO
3 - 3
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1997 |
LEN
0 - 1
MON
31%
27%
43%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |