Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
MID
0 - 2
MUD
17%
25%
58%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
MID
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MID
0 - 0
FUL
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
MID
3 - 1
HUL
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BOL
4 - 1
MID
47%
28%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |