Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 5
TOT
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 2
NEW
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
NEW
3 - 0
LEE
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
CHE
1 - 0
NEW
8%
17%
76%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
MID
0 - 0
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
IPS
2 - 0
MID
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
MID
1 - 0
SHE
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 1
MID
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |