Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 3
BPO
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
BBU
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
NEW
0 - 0
BBU
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
NEW
3 - 3
OPA
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1952 |
DER
3 - 1
MID
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1952 |
MID
2 - 2
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1952 |
ARS
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
MID
1 - 0
BPO
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |