Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1951 |
WOL
0 - 1
NEW
61%
19%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
2 - 0
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 2
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 3
NEW
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1951 |
CHA
3 - 0
MID
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1951 |
MID
1 - 1
TOT
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
BPO
2 - 1
MID
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1951 |
MID
1 - 2
WOL
57%
21%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
MID
1 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |