Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 2
NEW
53%
21%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1932 |
NEW
0 - 3
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1932 |
NEW
0 - 0
EVE
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
SHE
0 - 3
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 2
BPO
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1932 |
MID
0 - 2
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1932 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
ARS
5 - 0
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |