Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 0
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
LIV
0 - 2
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
STO
0 - 0
MID
28%
27%
46%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
BUR
3 - 0
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |