Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 3
NEW
49%
28%
23%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
HUR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
MID
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
BRA
3 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 1
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1921 |
MID
0 - 1
WBA
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
MID
2 - 2
SHE
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |