Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
NEW
0 - 0
BBU
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
MID
2 - 3
SHE
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1914 |
BUR
1 - 2
MID
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
MID
4 - 1
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
MID
5 - 2
SHW
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
OLD
3 - 0
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |