Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
BCF
2 - 1
NEW
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
NEW
0 - 2
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 0
PNE
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
WBA
3 - 1
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
MID
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1912 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
TOT
2 - 1
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MID
4 - 0
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |