Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
OLD
0 - 2
NEW
31%
25%
43%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
NEW
0 - 1
BRI
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 1
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
MID
3 - 0
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
SHW
1 - 1
MID
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
MUD
4 - 1
MID
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1910 |
MID
2 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |