Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
PNE
4 - 0
NEW
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
TOT
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRI
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
MID
3 - 2
SUN
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
2 - 1
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 0
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
MID
1 - 3
BBU
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |