Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1909 |
BRA
1 - 2
NEW
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
NEW
4 - 0
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1909 |
SUN
0 - 3
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
SHW
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |