Newcastle vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 2
BCF
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MID
2 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
MID
4 - 1
DER
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
BRE
1 - 0
MID
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
MID
3 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
SHW
0 - 2
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |