Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
NEW
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TOT
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 7
NEW
8%
17%
76%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 3
BHA
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MUD
1 - 6
TOT
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BHA
0 - 3
MUD
18%
24%
59%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BHA
2 - 3
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
LUT
0 - 3
MUD
14%
22%
63%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MUD
1 - 3
CRY
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |