Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
LEI
1 - 0
NEW
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 1
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
TOT
0 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
TOT
2 - 1
MUD
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
MUD
2 - 2
CHL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
BUR
0 - 0
MUD
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
MUD
0 - 1
DER
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |