Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
STO
2 - 0
NEW
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
NEW
3 - 1
NOR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
EVE
3 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
NEW
3 - 2
LEE
28%
29%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
COV
0 - 3
NEW
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
WBA
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
SHE
1 - 0
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
MUD
3 - 0
DER
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
WOL
2 - 0
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |