Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
BIR
6 - 1
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
SHW
4 - 0
NEW
51%
21%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 2
NEW
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1956 |
CAR
5 - 2
NEW
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 0
OPA
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 2
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1956 |
WBA
2 - 3
MUD
35%
24%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1956 |
PNE
1 - 3
MUD
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |