Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
4 - 2
NEW
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1950 |
HUR
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
NEW
5 - 1
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
NEW
0 - 0
HUR
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 2
OPA
59%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
BIR
0 - 0
MUD
29%
27%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 1
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 2
BIR
79%
13%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |