Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
LEI
1 - 1
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
BCF
2 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 2
SHE
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
NEW
0 - 2
BBU
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 3
WHU
45%
23%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
LEE
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 2
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
LEI
2 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |