Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
TOT
5 - 2
NEW
55%
21%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
2 - 3
HUR
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 3
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
BIR
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 2
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MUD
1 - 1
BBU
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
66%
18%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
MUD
4 - 1
ARS
44%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |