Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
SHE
4 - 3
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
3 - 0
LEE
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1926 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BBU
7 - 0
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
0 - 1
NOT
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
0 - 1
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
0 - 3
MUD
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |