Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
SHE
2 - 1
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
2 - 1
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 2
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
2 - 0
MUD
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
OLD
0 - 3
MUD
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |