Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
NEW
3 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
PNE
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
MUD
4 - 1
OLD
66%
20%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
CHL
0 - 2
MUD
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |