Newcastle vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
BIR
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 0
DER
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 1
MUD
67%
17%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1907 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHE
52%
22%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1907 |
NOT
3 - 0
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
0 - 0
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |