Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
2 - 0
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
4 - 2
AZA
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
WIG
1 - 0
NEW
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MID
0 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
16%
26%
58%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BBU
2 - 0
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 1
WIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |