Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1986 |
WHU
8 - 1
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
2 - 4
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
4 - 1
BIR
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
NEW
2 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
MAC
1 - 2
NTT
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
IPS
0 - 0
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
LIV
2 - 0
MAC
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
MAC
2 - 2
ASV
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |