Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
BRI
1 - 1
NEW
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 3
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
DER
4 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
STO
0 - 2
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 3
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
MAC
5 - 0
LEI
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |