Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1972 |
WHU
1 - 1
NEW
50%
25%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
LIV
3 - 2
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
NEW
3 - 0
BIR
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1972 |
MAC
2 - 1
SOU
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1972 |
MAC
1 - 1
IPS
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
LEE
3 - 0
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |