Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEE
29%
27%
43%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1971 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
BPO
0 - 1
NEW
35%
29%
37%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
NEW
3 - 1
DER
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
NEW
2 - 2
SOU
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
HUR
1 - 0
MAC
30%
30%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
MAC
3 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
MAC
3 - 1
GÓR
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1971 |
WBA
0 - 0
MAC
54%
24%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |