Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
NTT
3 - 0
NEW
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
1 - 0
WOL
36%
23%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
3 - 3
SHW
57%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
48%
22%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 1
PNE
49%
22%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 1
MAC
57%
20%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
TOT
0 - 1
MAC
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1960 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
MAC
0 - 1
WBA
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |