Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
CHA
6 - 3
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1949 |
BPO
0 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
NEW
3 - 2
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 0
EVE
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
2 - 0
FUL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1949 |
MAC
0 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
OPA
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAC
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |