Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
SHW
3 - 1
NEW
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
NEW
0 - 0
BIR
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1933 |
BBU
3 - 2
NEW
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1933 |
NEW
1 - 1
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
3 - 1
BBU
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 2
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1933 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |