Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 2
WOL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
MAC
4 - 1
WOL
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
LEE
2 - 1
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |