Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
20%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
HUR
2 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
NEW
4 - 3
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIV
63%
19%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
LEE
0 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1929 |
MAC
4 - 2
WHU
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
LEI
3 - 2
MAC
69%
17%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 0
LEE
67%
17%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
MAC
2 - 3
DER
62%
19%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
3 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |