Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
BRA
2 - 3
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
48%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
5 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 2
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |