Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARS
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1921 |
MAC
5 - 1
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |