Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 1
SHW
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |