Newcastle vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
DER
2 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
4 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |